Yankees vs. White Sox Prediction Today September 25: Aaron Judge’s Hot Streak Continues at Yankee Stadium

The Chicago White Sox (58-100) face another daunting challenge Thursday night as they visit the New York Yankees (90-68) at Yankee Stadium. Coming off a two-homer performance, Aaron Judge leads the heavily favored Yankees (-308) against a White Sox team that’s endured one of the most difficult seasons in franchise history.

Game Details

Date: Thursday, September 25, 2025
Time: 7:05 p.m. ET / 6:05 p.m. CT
Location: Yankee Stadium, New York
TV Coverage: YES Network, Chicago Sports Network (CHSN)
Betting Lines: Yankees -308, White Sox +244
Run Total: 8.5 runs
Spread: Yankees -1.5

Pitching Matchup: Rodon vs Martin

Carlos Rodon Anchors Yankees Rotation

Carlos Rodon takes the mound for his 33rd start with an impressive 17-9 record and 3.04 ERA across 189⅓ innings. His 198 strikeouts demonstrate the kind of dominance that’s made him a key piece of New York’s playoff push.

Rodon represents exactly the type of veteran ace who should dominate against a struggling White Sox lineup that’s managed just 621 runs this season.

Davis Martin Gets Another Opportunity

Davis Martin draws the assignment for his 25th start, carrying a 7-10 record that actually represents solid individual performance given the team’s overall struggles. The right-hander has been asked to eat innings during this rebuilding season.

Martin faces the unenviable task of containing baseball’s highest-scoring offense while trying to keep his team competitive.

Yankees’ Offensive Juggernaut

Aaron Judge’s MVP-Caliber Season

Aaron Judge enters Thursday riding momentum from his two-homer performance, leading the Yankees with 51 home runs, 109 RBIs, and a .328 batting average. His production anchors an offense that leads MLB with 827 runs scored and 266 home runs.

Judge’s recent power surge illustrates why the Yankees are considered legitimate World Series contenders.

Championship-Level Depth

Cody Bellinger contributes solid production with a .481 slugging percentage, while Jazz Chisholm adds power with a .490 slugging percentage. Trent Grisham provides additional depth throughout the lineup.

This Yankees offense averages 5.2 runs per game while hitting 1.7 home runs per contest, creating constant pressure opponents must navigate.

White Sox Offense: Limited but Developing

Lenyn Sosa’s Continued Growth

Lenyn Sosa remains Chicago’s brightest offensive spot, leading the team with 21 home runs, 72 RBIs, and a .259 batting average. His development provides genuine hope for the organization’s future direction.

Supporting Cast Shows Promise

Edgar Quero contributes a .272 average, while Chase Meidroth adds solid on-base skills at .260. Miguel Vargas provides 15 home runs despite a .231 average, though the White Sox rank 28th in baseball with just 621 runs scored.

The Stark Statistical Reality

The talent gap appears overwhelming across every category:

  • Runs per game: Yankees 5.2 vs White Sox 3.9
  • Home runs: Yankees 266 vs White Sox 157
  • Team ERA: Yankees 3.95 vs White Sox 4.26
  • Batting average: Yankees .251 vs White Sox .232

New York’s dominance in offensive production creates nearly impossible challenges for Chicago’s pitching staff.

Historic Underdog Status

The White Sox enter as +244 underdogs – among the longest odds they’ve faced all season. They’re 0-5 when facing odds of +244 or higher, suggesting even their modest 36.8% success rate as underdogs may be optimistic.

The Yankees have limited experience as such heavy favorites, going 2-1 in similar situations.

Key Injuries

Yankees: Several pitchers remain on various IL stints, though their depth allows them to absorb these losses effectively.

White Sox: Luis Robert, Mike Tauchman, and Andrew Benintendi all remain unavailable, further limiting an already thin roster.

What White Sox Fans Can Watch For

Beyond the likely unfavorable outcome, this game provides opportunities to evaluate developing talent against elite competition. Martin’s performance against the Yankees’ loaded lineup offers insights into his potential future role.

Individual moments like Sosa’s continued development and Quero’s promising hitting provide the few bright spots during this challenging season.

Game Prediction

Final Score: Yankees 10, White Sox 4
Total: Over 8.5 runs

The talent disparity makes a lopsided outcome feel inevitable. Rodon should dominate Chicago’s limited offense while the Yankees’ powerful lineup overwhelms White Sox pitching from early innings.

Judge’s recent hot streak against overmatched pitching suggests multiple extra-base hits are likely. The extreme betting line reflects reality – this represents a mismatch between a championship contender and a team enduring a historically bad season.

This serves as another reminder of the massive gap the White Sox must bridge during their rebuild to compete with teams like the Yankees. The experience provides valuable lessons for young players, even if the immediate results aren’t encouraging for the traveling fans.

Still, let´s goo White Sox!