The Chicago Bears (6-3) travel to face the Minnesota Vikings (4-5) Sunday afternoon at U.S. Bank Stadium in a crucial NFC North matchup. We’re riding high at 6-3 while the Vikings are struggling through an inconsistent season, and the betting markets have this as essentially a pick ’em.
Game Information
Date: Sunday, November 17, 2025
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET / 12:00 p.m. CT
Location: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis
TV Coverage: FOX
Betting Lines and Analysis
Spread: Vikings -2.5 (-122), Bears +2.5 (+102)
Moneyline: Vikings -148, Bears +124
Total: 48.5 points (Over -108 / Under -112)
The spread has moved from Vikings -3 to -2.5 since opening, suggesting sharp money is coming in on the Bears. The total jumped from 46.5 to 48.5, indicating both offenses are expected to produce.
Bears Rolling at 6-3
We’re 6-3 and exceeding every preseason expectation. Caleb Williams continues developing, our defense is creating turnovers, and we’re winning games we’re supposed to win. The 3-2 road record shows we can compete away from Soldier Field.
Caleb Williams’ Growth
Our rookie quarterback has shown steady improvement throughout the season. He’s making better decisions, protecting the football, and delivering in clutch moments. The offense isn’t explosive yet, but it’s functional and improving weekly.
Defense Creating Opportunities
Our defense has been the difference-maker in several wins. We’re forcing turnovers, generating pressure, and making life difficult for opposing quarterbacks. Against a Vikings team that’s been inconsistent, this creates real opportunity.
Recent Comeback Wins
Yes, we’ve needed fourth-quarter comebacks in recent weeks. Some view that as concerning – we see it as character. This team doesn’t quit, finds ways to win close games, and has developed resilience you can’t teach.
Vikings Struggling at 4-5
Minnesota sits at 4-5 with a brutal 1-3 home record. That home split is particularly concerning – U.S. Bank Stadium should provide an advantage, but the Vikings haven’t capitalized. They’re inconsistent on both sides of the ball and look nothing like the playoff team many expected.
Offensive Inconsistency
The Vikings offense alternates between explosive and stagnant. They’ll put up 30 points one week, then struggle to reach 20 the next. That inconsistency makes them difficult to trust, even at home.
Home Field Hasn’t Helped
That 1-3 home record tells you everything. U.S. Bank Stadium loses some of its intimidation factor when the home team keeps losing there. We shouldn’t fear this environment given Minnesota’s struggles.
Historical Context: Vikings Have Owned This Matchup
Let’s address the elephant in the room – Minnesota has dominated this rivalry recently, winning 9 of the last 10 meetings. Their last loss to us was a 12-10 Bears win in 2023.
However, the games have been competitive. Four of the last five were decided by 6 points or fewer, including Minnesota’s 27-24 Week 1 victory this season.
Week 1 Rematch Factor
We lost 27-24 in the season opener at Soldier Field. That was Week 1 Caleb – he’s significantly better now. We’re a different team than we were in September, while Minnesota looks worse.
The rematch angle favors us. We know what they do, we’ve seen their tendencies, and we have adjustments ready.
Why We’ll Cover and Win
Vikings’ Home Struggles
That 1-3 home record creates real value for road underdogs. Minnesota hasn’t protected home field, making the -2.5 spread feel generous.
Our Road Success
We’re 3-2 on the road with competitive performances in every away game. We’re not intimidated by hostile environments and have shown we can win outside Chicago.
Momentum Matters
We’re 6-3 and building playoff positioning. Minnesota is 4-5 and fighting to stay relevant. Desperation cuts both ways – sometimes it fuels performance, sometimes it creates panic.
Division Game Intensity
NFC North games are always physical, competitive battles. These teams know each other well, and records often matter less than execution. Our recent success gives us confidence heading into this environment.
Betting Analysis
The Spread
Bears +2.5 offers value. We should keep this within a field goal even if we don’t win outright, and we have legitimate upset potential. Minnesota’s home struggles combined with our road success creates opportunity.
The Moneyline
Bears +124 presents excellent upset value. Betting $100 to win $124 on a 6-3 team against a 4-5 team that’s 1-3 at home? That’s too good to pass up.
The Total
Over 48.5 feels slightly high but hittable. If both offenses execute and the game stays competitive into the fourth quarter, we’ll push toward 50+ combined points.
Bears’ Keys to Victory
For us to pull the upset and move to 7-3, we need:
- Fast start – Can’t spot them an early lead in their building
- Control clock – Limit their offensive possessions
- Force turnovers – Vikings have been careless with the ball
- Trust Caleb – Let our quarterback make plays when needed
Bears Fan Perspective
This is a statement game. Beat a division rival on the road, move to 7-3, and announce that the Bears are back as legitimate NFC North contenders.
The Vikings have owned this matchup historically, but we’re the better team right now. They’re struggling at home, we’re confident on the road, and Caleb is playing better football than their quarterback.
The 2.5-point spread feels disrespectful given our records and recent form. We should win this game outright, and at minimum, we’ll keep it within a field goal.
U.S. Bank Stadium won’t intimidate us. We’ve won tougher road games, and Minnesota’s 1-3 home record shows that building isn’t the fortress it once was.
Game Prediction
Final Score: Bears 27, Vikings 24
We pull the upset in Minneapolis, covering the 2.5-point spread and winning outright on the moneyline. The game stays competitive throughout, coming down to a fourth-quarter drive where Caleb delivers when it matters most.
Our defense forces 2+ turnovers, our offensive line controls the line of scrimmage, and we execute better in crucial moments. The Vikings fight, but we’re simply the better, more confident team right now.
Best Bets:
- Bears +2.5 (confident play) – Should win outright
- Bears ML +124 (strong value) – Upset special
- Over 48.5 (slight lean) – Could be a shootout
For Bears fans, this represents a massive opportunity. Win at U.S. Bank Stadium, move to 7-3, and put the entire NFC North on notice that Chicago is back.
Sunday in Minneapolis – let’s shock the Vikings and keep this playoff push rolling.
Bear Down! Let´s Go!