The Chicago Bears (9-3) travel to face the Green Bay Packers (8-3-1) Sunday afternoon at Lambeau Field in a massive NFC North showdown. We’re riding a 5-game winning streak and holding the No. 1 seed in the NFC, while the Packers have won 3 straight. This is for division supremacy and playoff positioning.
Game Information
Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET / 3:25 p.m. CT
Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
TV Coverage: FOX
Streaming: NFL+, Hulu Live, YouTube TV
Betting Lines and Analysis
Spread: Packers -6.5
Over/Under: 44.5 points
Win Probability: Packers approximately 69%
Bears Playing Championship Football
We’re 9-3 and riding a 5-game winning streak that includes a statement victory over the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles. This isn’t the rebuilding Bears anymore – we’re legitimate NFC contenders.
Caleb Williams Has Arrived
Our rookie quarterback has shown poise and precision in big moments. He’s not just managing games – he’s making plays that win them. His mobility and accuracy are creating problems for every defense we face.
Dominant Ground Game
We ran for 281 yards against Philadelphia last week. Our rushing attack is controlling games, wearing down defenses, and setting up play-action opportunities for Caleb.
Time of Possession Dominance
We held the ball for nearly 40 minutes against the Eagles. When we control the clock with our ground game, we’re incredibly difficult to beat.
Defense Making Key Stops
Xavier McKinney and our defense have been opportunistic, forcing turnovers and making crucial stops. We’re not just winning – we’re winning in multiple ways.
Packers Playing Well at Home
Green Bay enters at 8-3-1, riding a 3-game winning streak that includes a gutsy 31-24 road win in Detroit. They’re 4-2 at Lambeau this season, showing home field provides real advantage.
Jordan Love Playing Elite Football
The Packers quarterback threw 4 touchdown passes with zero interceptions against the Lions. He’s playing his best football of the season and making Green Bay’s offense dangerous.
Recent Rivalry Dominance
The Packers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings and outscored us 125-91 during that stretch. They have psychological edge and recent success to draw confidence from.
Lambeau Factor
Playing at Lambeau in early December is always difficult. The weather, the crowd, the history – everything favors Green Bay in this rivalry game.
Why We’re 6.5-Point Underdogs
Despite our 9-3 record and No. 1 seed in the NFC, we’re getting 6.5 points on the road. The market respects Lambeau home field advantage and Green Bay’s recent dominance in this rivalry.
Home Field Worth Points
Lambeau in December is worth 3-4 points minimum. Add in recent rivalry history, and 6.5 points makes sense despite our better record.
Packers ATS Struggles
Green Bay is just 1-6 ATS when favored by 6.5 or more this season. They don’t blow teams out even when heavily favored, creating value on our side.
We’ve Been Covering
We’ve covered the spread in 5 of our last 6 games. We’re consistently exceeding expectations and winning games we’re supposed to win.
Weather Will Be Classic Lambeau
Forecasts call for mid-teens temperatures with single-digit wind chills. Classic frozen tundra conditions that should favor our run-heavy approach over Green Bay’s passing game.
Our Ground Game Thrives
Cold weather football means running the ball. We just ran for 281 yards against Philly – imagine what we can do when conditions force ground-based attack.
Limits Packers’ Passing
Jordan Love’s 4-TD performance was in better conditions. In freezing Lambeau weather, even elite passers struggle. This neutralizes some of their offensive advantage.
Key Matchups to Watch
Caleb Williams vs Packers Secondary
Our rookie quarterback’s mobility and accuracy will test Green Bay’s coverage schemes. If he avoids turnovers and makes plays with his legs, we can win.
Our Pass Rush vs Jordan Love
We need to pressure Love early and disrupt his rhythm. If we give him time to dissect our secondary, it’ll be a long day.
Our Run Game vs Packers Front Seven
This is where the game will be won. If we establish the run like we did against Philly, we control the game and keep Love on the sideline.
Bears Fan Perspective
This is everything. NFC North title implications, No. 1 seed positioning, rivalry game at Lambeau – it doesn’t get bigger than this in the regular season.
Getting 6.5 points feels generous given our 5-game winning streak and dominant recent performances. Yes, Lambeau is tough. Yes, they’ve beaten us lately. But we’re not the same team anymore.
Caleb Williams has transformed this offense. Our ground game is dominant. Our defense is making plays. We’re 9-3 and holding the NFC’s top seed for a reason.
The Packers are 1-6 ATS when favored by 6.5+ points, meaning they struggle to blow teams out. We’ve covered in 5 of our last 6. The trends favor us keeping this close at minimum.
This is our statement game. Win at Lambeau, announce to the NFC that the Bears are back, and take control of the division.
Prediction: Bears 24, Packers 20
We pull off the road upset, covering the 6.5-point spread easily and winning outright. Our ground game controls the clock, Caleb makes clutch throws when needed, and our defense forces a critical turnover late.
The game stays under 44.5 points as weather and defense dominate. This is physical, grinding, December football at its finest.
Best Bets:
- Bears +6.5 (most confident play) – Should win outright
- Bears ML (strong value) – Upset potential is real
- Under 44.5 (solid lean) – Weather limits scoring
For Bears fans, this represents our arrival as legitimate contenders. Beat the Packers at Lambeau, improve to 10-3, and show the entire NFC that Chicago is back.
Bear Down and shock Lambeau!