Bears vs Giants Preview: Home Favorite Against Struggling New York
The Chicago Bears (5-3) host the New York Giants (2-7) Sunday afternoon at Soldier Field, with kickoff set for 1:00 p.m. ET. We’re 4.5-point favorites at home against a Giants team that’s lost three straight and looks completely lost on both sides of the ball.
Game Information
Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET / 12:00 p.m. CT
Location: Soldier Field, Chicago
TV Coverage: FOX
Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App, FOX One
Betting Lines and Analysis
Spread: Bears -4.5
Moneyline: Bears favored (68.6% implied win probability)
Total: 46.5 points (Over -105 / Under -115)
Bears Building Momentum at 5-3
We’re sitting at 5-3 and starting to look like a legitimate playoff contender. More importantly, we’re 5-3 against the spread, showing we’re meeting or exceeding expectations. Five of our eight games have gone over the total, suggesting our offense is capable of putting up points.
The most encouraging stat? We’re 2-0 as moneyline favorites this season. When the betting markets respect us, we deliver.
Caleb Williams’ Development
Our rookie quarterback continues improving each week. Williams has thrown for 1,916 yards with 12 touchdowns against just 4 interceptions – a 3:1 TD-to-INT ratio that shows maturity beyond his years.
He’s averaging 239.5 passing yards per game while completing 61.5% of his passes. Add in 183 rushing yards and 2 rushing TDs, and you see why the offense is clicking.
Running Game Finding Balance
D’Andre Swift has been solid with 464 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns, averaging 4.6 yards per carry. That 66.3 yards per game might not blow you away, but it’s keeping defenses honest and opening up the passing game.
Swift’s also contributed as a receiver with 18 catches for 192 yards and a TD, giving Williams a reliable checkdown option.
Receiving Weapons Emerging
Rome Odunze has been a revelation with 5 touchdown catches (10th in NFL) and 473 receiving yards. That’s exactly what we needed from our rookie receiver.
DJ Moore continues being consistent with 403 yards and 30 catches, though we’d like to see his touchdown production (just 1 TD) increase.
Giants in Complete Disarray
New York sits at 2-7 with a 3-game losing streak, and honestly, they look like a team that’s already thinking about next year’s draft. Their 4-5 ATS record shows they occasionally keep games close, but as underdogs of 4.5+ points, they’re 4-3 ATS – barely coin flip territory.
Quarterback Carousel Continues
The Giants are splitting time between Jaxson Dart and Russell Wilson, which tells you everything about their offensive dysfunction. Dart has thrown 10 TDs against 3 INTs but averages just 146.9 passing yards per game. Wilson has similar numbers with 3 TDs and 3 INTs through five games.
Neither quarterback inspires confidence, and the constant rotation creates offensive inconsistency.
Defense Getting Destroyed
New York allows 27.7 points per game (28th in NFL) and 150.0 rushing yards per game (31st in NFL). Their pass defense isn’t much better at 24th.
Brian Burns leads the NFL with 11.0 sacks, but one pass rusher can’t carry an entire defense. We should move the ball consistently against this unit.
Why We Should Cover Easily
The 4.5-point spread feels almost generous given the matchup. Here’s why:
Home Field Advantage
Soldier Field in November creates real advantages. The weather could be a factor, the crowd will be energized, and we’re simply more comfortable playing at home.
Defensive Mismatch
Our defense ranks better than New York’s in nearly every category. We allow 28.4 points per game (not great at 29th), but we’re facing an offense that only scores 21.9 per game.
Giants’ Road Struggles
New York is 0-2 as underdogs on the road this season. They don’t travel well and have shown zero ability to compete away from home when not favored.
Over/Under Analysis
46.5 points feels about right, maybe slightly low. Here’s the breakdown:
- Five of our eight games have gone over
- Five of Giants’ nine games have gone over
- We average 26.9 points per game at home
- Giants allow 27.7 points per game
This projects as a game where we score in the mid-to-high 20s while holding New York to 17-21 points. That puts us right around the total, with slight lean toward over.
Bears’ Keys to Victory
For us to cover the 4.5-point spread and move to 6-3, we need:
- Establish the run early – Make Swift work against that 31st-ranked rush defense
- Protect Caleb – Don’t let Burns wreck the game
- Force turnovers – Pressure their shaky QB situation
- No letdown – Beat the teams we should beat
Historical Context
The last four Bears-Giants matchups split 2-2, with Chicago outscoring New York 87-67 total. That 20-point differential over four games suggests we typically have the edge in this series.
Bears Fan Perspective
This is exactly the type of game we need to dominate. The Giants are reeling, we’re at home, and we’re favored for good reason. No trap game excuses, no playing down to competition – just handle business and move to 6-3.
The 4.5-point spread feels light. We should win by a touchdown or more if we play our game. New York’s defense is terrible, their offense is dysfunctional, and they’re on a 3-game losing streak.
Soldier Field in November against a struggling opponent – this is where we make our statement.
Game Prediction
Final Score: Bears 28, Giants 17
We cover the 4.5-point spread comfortably, winning by nearly two touchdowns. Caleb Williams throws for 250+ yards and 2 TDs, Swift rushes for 80+ yards, and our defense forces 2+ turnovers.
The game stays under 46.5 points as our defense limits New York’s struggling offense.
Best Bets:
- Bears -4.5 (most confident play) – Should win by 10+
- Bears ML (lock) – This is a mismatch
- Under 46.5 (slight lean) – Defense will dominate
For Bears fans, this represents a “take care of business” game. Beat a bad team at home, move to 6-3, and keep building momentum for the playoff push.
Sunday at Soldier Field – let’s dominate and send the Giants back to New York with their fourth straight loss.
Bear Down! Let´s go Bears!