Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Prediction July 19, 2025 Game Preview, Odds, and Expert Picks

Anticipation builds for the July 19, 2025, MLB clash between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. This second game of a three-game series promises an intriguing matchup, with both teams looking to gain an edge. Betting odds and expert predictions are already circulating, offering insights into what could be a tightly contested affair.

Pitching Matchup

The mound will feature a compelling pitching duel:

  • St. Louis Cardinals: Sonny Gray (3.50 ERA) is slated to start. Gray has been in strong form, boasting a 2.54 ERA over his last 28.1 innings and an impressive 79:9 K:BB ratio over his last 12 appearances.
  • Arizona Diamondbacks: Ryne Nelson (3.68 ERA) will take the hill for the Diamondbacks. Nelson looks to rebound after a recent outing where he allowed four runs over four innings, breaking a streak of five straight starts with two or fewer runs allowed.

Betting Odds and Predictions

Odds and predictions for the game are varied, reflecting the competitive nature of the matchup:

  • Head to Head:
    • Diamondbacks: $1.77
    • Cardinals: $2.10
  • Run Line:
    • Diamondbacks -1.5: $2.54
    • Cardinals +1.5: $1.54
  • Total (Over/Under 9 Runs):
    • Over: $1.91
    • Under: $1.91

Key Takeaways from Analytics:

  • Stats Insider’s model gives the Diamondbacks a 53% chance of winning.
  • The Cardinals (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 64% of the time.
  • The 9-run over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.

Expert Picks

Several experts have weighed in with their best bets:

  • Stats Insider: Recommends betting on the Cardinals to win at $2.10, Cardinals +1.5 at $1.54, and Under 9 runs at $1.91.
  • Statsalt: Predicts a Cardinals Moneyline win, citing Sonny Gray’s strong performance, and an Under bet for the total runs.
  • Doc’s Sports: Suggests taking the Arizona Diamondbacks at +150 and the Under 8 runs.
  • I personally will go with Doc´s Sports prediction

Team Performance and Context

Both teams enter this game with recent inconsistencies:

  • St. Louis Cardinals: Currently 51-46, they are 6.5 games behind the Cubs in the NL Central but only 1.5 games out of the third NL wild-card spot. They swept the Diamondbacks earlier in the season but have since experienced a slump, losing eight of their last 12 games.
  • Arizona Diamondbacks: With a 47-50 record, they are fourth in the NL West, four games behind the Cardinals and 5.5 games out of the wild-card race. They also ended the All-Star break on a poor note, losing eight of their last 12.

Player Spotlight: Corbin Carroll

Arizona’s Corbin Carroll is a player to watch. His season stats include a .245 batting average, .324 OBP, and .550 SLG, with 47 RBIs and 79 hits in 80 games. Prop bets for Carroll include 1.5 hits (Over +175, Under -235) and 1.5 total bases (Over -115, Under -111). Doc’s Sports suggests taking the Over on his total bases.

Sources

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