Best Profitable & Winning Betting Strategy: How to win every bet? Positive EV Betting Explained

Sports betting is a fantastic way to get more involved in your favorite sports events. Just watching an NFL or NBA game from the sidelines is an exhilarating mix of emotions, but imagine when you’ve got an actual stake in the outcome of that anticipated Sunday night game. >> Head now to the best Tipster Service -> Promoguy.us <<  for daily tips on upcoming events you don’t want to miss.

While many US bettors wager on sports for the thrill, a greater percentage ultimately hope to make money with sports betting. That’s why the experts have developed several sports betting tips and strategies for winning. This guide has got all the pertinent info on placing smart bets, including an explanation of positive EV betting and how the pros use it to stay ahead of the books.

Benefits of using a tipster service

Before we move on to looking at positive EV betting in more depth, we’ll first explore a few of the reasons you might want to make use of a tipster service, rather than going it alone.

  • Time – it’s a fact of life that for most of you, sports betting is a hobby and you don’t really have the time to turn it into something more profitable. Using a tipster service can offer you the best of both worlds.
  • Expert knowledge – good tipsters invariably have contacts within their favored sport, they subscribe to professional publications and have access to stats beyond those publicly accessible.
  • Finding value – in addition to their own sporting knowledge, professional tipsters will often use specialist software, allowing them to identify value bets much more quickly than you could find them yourself.
  • Flexibility – tipsters use ‘points’ rather than assigning a recommended cash stake. It doesn’t matter if your ‘point’ level is $1 or $100, the strength of a tip is determined by the number of ‘points’ the tipster recommends, but you decide on the amount you want to risk.

The best way to make money with sports betting – Tipster Service: Promoguy.us

It’s safe to say that bettors always want to win, at least most of the time. Everyone knows that betting is a game of chance and probability. The only certainty is that you win some and you lose some. Unfortunately, bettors tend to lose a lot more than they win.

Sportsbooks are always in the green because of a little advantage called vig – the percentage of your bets that go to the operator whether you win or lose. That’s why the odds on the moneyline, spread, totals, or other betting markets are never true odds.

Should a coin toss be offered at the sportsbook, you’ll find the probability of the outcomes as -110 instead of 100. Heads or Tails each have the same statistical chance of occurring and should have an even payout equal to the amount wagered. Instead, you’ll be betting $110 to win $100, thereby making a lesser profit of $90. You’d be losing $10 to the sportsbook every time, even if you won all your bets, and we all know that’s impossible.

What this means, is that you need to make smart bets to increase your chances of winning or, at the very least, cut down your losses. Luckily, you’ve got Promoguy, the best US tipster service, with all the help you need to begin winning bets as the pros do. 

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Follow free picks on Twitter

The US sports betting market is vast but very efficient. Many resources are available over the internet, from betting tips and tricks to picks on upcoming events. Social media platforms like Twitter have great sports betting communities where you find free picks from expert analysts with decades of experience and substantial intellectual and human resources.

Betting picks are basically informed predictions on match outcomes. The average bettor isn’t exposed to the vast knowledge of these experts, and wouldn’t be able to make predictions with the same accuracy. Picks from a top tipster service like Promoguy will take into account past head-to-head results, weather conditions, injury stats, sports news, etc. So they’ve got higher chances of winning.

Promoguy is a trusted resource for legal sports betting in the USA. Follow them on Twitter to find top picks, the best bets of the day, promo bets, and more. 

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Bear in mind that picks are not always correct, as not even the sportsbooks themselves can accurately predict match outcomes. However, if you’re an inexperienced bettor flying blind, they’re a much safer way to bet.

JOIN THE VIP +EV BETTING GROUP

Positive EV is a measure of what you can expect to win for a bet placed on the same odds over and over. Since expected value is the difference between the true odds and the sportsbook’s posted odds, the +EV is when that difference is a positive percentage, indicating profit over time.

Positive EV (Expected Value) betting is a common strategy the pros use. You don’t have to be an expert bettor, though. As long as you constantly place sports bets, you’ll want to join the ranks of +EV bettors to increase any chance you have to make money with sports betting. Promoguy has the best forum where you can learn more about +EV and get insights on how to increase your return on investment using this strategy. Many other helpful analyses, tools, and daily discussions where you can get valuable betting advice are also available. Join Promo Guy Plus to get all these and more at your fingertips.

General sports betting tips to increase your odds of winning

The most profitable bettors only win about 55% of bets on average, often less. With professional bettors, the aim is to win more than 50% of the time. This is just enough to put you ahead of the sportsbook and is a reasonable expectation. However, you certainly can’t achieve it by simply betting on your favorite team all the time, or going with your gut feeling either.

You also can’t make money with sports betting if you only follow the crowd. In fact, that’s the number one tip for things you should not do. On the contrary, the most profitable betting tips are ways to take advantage of value hidden beneath the odds.

Utilize multiple sportsbooks to find the best numbers

The beauty of online sports betting is that you can join multiple sites simultaneously. The purpose of creating multiple accounts goes beyond just claiming bonuses and promotions. It also helps you to shop for the best odds.

Generally, sportsbooks employ the best oddsmakers and utilize high-tech programs and algorithms to find the most efficient lines. It’s a similar process across most betting sites, so you’ll find that the odds are roughly within the same margin. However, different oddsmakers ultimately have their own idea of each team’s chances, so there may be slight differences in lines.

Smart bettors will want to take advantage of the most profitable odds where possible. You may think it’s only a small value, but it accumulates to significant amounts over time. This is especially so for bettors who spend big.

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Focus on beating smaller markets

Remember how following the crowd is not a good idea? Well, neither is going for the most anticipated markets. Sportsbooks will naturally focus their efforts on events that attract lots of bettors. So the chances that they’ll miss a crucial stat, enabling you to find a value bet, is very low.

Thinking outside of the box and focusing your betting on less mainstream markets is definitely a lot of fun and can also be more lucrative. Here are some of the wyas you can do just that:

  • Specialise in betting on lesser leagues – for example, if you like football, most good sportsbooks have better odds for the XFL or USFL games than for NFL matches. 
  • Avoid popular bet types – move away from straight win/lose moneyline bets. Focus instead on over/under, half- and quarter-time results, or explore the delights of Asian Handicap betting.
  • Don’t overlook prop bets – many bettors completely miss out by dismissing prop bets as a novelty. If you do that, you’ll actually be missing out on a very lucrative market where there is always value to be found. 

 

It’s precisely from sports and betting markets that draw in the greatest handle, that they aim to make the most profits. On the contrary, they won’t spend as much time and resources on smaller markets. Think of the hype around the Super Bowl compared to a college football match.

Rather than betting on the moneyline on that highly anticipated NFL playoff game, you can go for half-time or quarter results. Or simply bet on a less popular sport. Don’t just go off the rails, though. It should be a sport you have a good idea about in order to be able to spot value in the odds.

Establish a bankroll and stick to it

This is a strategy that applies to any online gambling. Bankroll refers to the amount of money you have to place bets. Not many bettors know the importance of setting aside a separate amount for betting activities, which is one of the reasons why betting sites introduced the idea of spending limits.

No matter what strategy you use, betting without a spending limit will end unfavorably. Unchecked spending will always lead to a loss because the house has an edge (vig), and the more you bet, the more you stand to lose. It won’t matter if you win a lucky bet and get a big payout if you’ve spent and lost much more. Also, professional gamblers always factor in bankroll management because they need to check their wins against the amount spent to determine their win rate.

Setting a bankroll is only the first step. You have to stick to it. The pros are successful because they have good control over their spending. Remember that unchecked gambling spending can also lead to problem gambling and developing an addiction.

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Stay Disciplined

Staying within the limits of your bankroll is one of the ways to develop discipline as a bettor. Casual bettors can make carefree decisions since they only bet once in a while. When they do so, they’ll most likely just bet on their favorites with little thought to a strategy.

If you’re looking to make money with sports betting, you’ll need to think about your bets before you actually make them. Don’t be carried away by emotions, and make sure you only place bets that have an edge. If your tactic is to follow sports betting picks from Promoguy, maintain that. If you’ve placed bets using your own personal strategy, don’t be tempted to bet in play in the rush of the moment. That would be chasing your losses, and accepting a losing outcome is also a part of discipline.

Most important of all is knowing when to walk away. If there’s no value to be gained, then place no bets. This also applies to promo bets. You don’t have to take it if it’s a bad deal. Be patient and wait to find something better.

Track Your Bets & Closing Line Value

Sharp bettors don’t wait till right before kickoff to place bets. That’s for newbies who have no idea about finding value. Sportsbooks release odds well before the actual event, and betting lines are most vulnerable right after they’re released.

It’s like betting on futures. The odds are much longer, with more significant margins of error early on. As a possible outcome becomes more evident, the odds grow shorter. You don’t have to bet immediately, but you should monitor the event and follow the odds carefully, then you can jump on when the best value appears. You can track it all the way to the closing line.

Positive EV bets – The most profitable betting tips

As earlier mentioned, odds posted on the sportsbook are not true odds. The idea of expected value is being able to determine the true odds of a game as opposed to the posted odds on the sportsbook and then take advantage of the difference in value. Since sports events are not black and white like the two sides of a coin, bettors simply need to look for where the sportsbook has overpriced or undervalued the odds.

Here’s an example scenario:

Imagine a match-up between the Philadelphia Eagles and Detroit Lions. A sportsbook lists the Eagles as the favorites with -140 on the moneyline and the Lions as +125 moneyline underdogs.

While the Eagles may be the better team, the sportsbook may have missed the fact that some members of the team were reported to have picked up a virus. This detail could affect the team’s performance and give the Lions an upper hand. Based on the odds, the Detroit Lions are not heavy underdogs, and since they’re likely to be in better form, they’ve got a greater chance than the odds allocated by the sportsbook.

The +EV bet here would be +125 moneyline on Detroit Lions. Based on the illustration, determining a +EV bet isn’t just about predicting who will win or lose. It’s about weighing the actual probability of an outcome against the odds presented by the book.

Conclusion – Begin placing winning bets with winning betting picks and tips

The advantage is with the sportsbook on every bet, and this is compounded by the juice or vig on your wagers. Your best shot at becoming a successful bettor is by using sports betting tips or winning betting picks like those provided at a US tipster service like Promoguy. There are several tips and tricks from the experts, including shrewd betting methods like +EV betting.

Looking for value bets is ultimately the safest way to ensure you land more winning bets than losing ones. Other tips like shopping for odds, bankroll management, and discipline will also help in your endeavor to make money in the long term.

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Best US Tipster Service and Profitable Bets FAQ

Can I make money with sports betting?

Bettors win money with every successful bet. However, making money in the long term is where it gets tricky. Making bets based on your gut is not a sustainable way to consistently make profits. Expected value betting, however, is the best way to ensure you’re only making bets with the most favorable odds. You won’t win all the time, but you can keep your win percentage over your losses.

Where can I find winning betting picks?

Bettors looking for the best picks should 

>>Head to the best Tipster Service -> Promoguy.us <<

There you’ll find not only daily picks from expert analysts but also the best daily bets on top sportsbooks in the US and more. You can follow the picks precisely when placing bets. Otherwise, you can use them as a guide to making your own informed predictions.

How can I find value bets?

You can find value bets by tracking odds, shopping for numbers, or any other tips mentioned in this guide. A value bet is one where you predict a higher chance of winning than the sportsbook offers. You’ll need to develop a good sense of finding hidden value, but several stats and resources also help fish out value.

How large a bankroll do I need to practice +EV betting strategy?

Positive EV betting is a long-term strategy, so you must maintain a steady betting routine to begin seeing results. However, the amount you need to place bets depends on how much of your disposable income you can set aside as your bankroll. The golden rule is to only bet what you can afford to lose; naturally, different bettors have different bankroll levels.

Are betting strategies worth it?

Yes, betting strategies are worth the time you take to plan and perfect them. While there is no guarantee for wins, you’ll usually lose a lot more when betting without a strategy. Strategies help you make smart bets that may increase your winning chances. Since sportsbooks don’t offer true odds, you’re already at a disadvantage that only grows wider as you bet. A strategy comes in to lessen the margin.