The upcoming United States presidential elections are already historic, months before the voters go to their polling places. The big day is scheduled for Tuesday, November 5, 2024, and the campaigns have been in full swing for months already. There have been many changes, surprises, harsh words, and shady tactics. Candidates are nervous, perhaps even desperate, while their supporters have managed to split the society like never before. It seems that the craze surrounding the election is at an all-time high considering the ongoing struggles in the world. As a matter of fact, whenever the US is choosing its next president it is also a matter of global interest. Why is that exactly?
Well, the president is usually called “The Leader of the Free World” and the position comes with near absolute power and decision-making well beyond the borders of the country. Until 2028, either Donald Trump or Kamala Harris will lead the world that will look up to them and their regime for answers. From the conflicts in Russia and Israel to the falling economy and climate change, the president of the USA is always around. Of course, their primary objective is to take care of Americans, and, as Trump’s slogan puts it, “Make America Great Again”. In this article, we take a closer look at the race and bring you the best odds on the US president election.
Betting on the Election
As you may already know, the US elections 2024 are a prime opportunity for bettors and gamblers to earn some money. They can utilize their experience, political knowledge, or gut feeling and place a lucrative bet that will get them more than a new president. This has been like a tradition for years now. Gamblers who enjoy casino games like poker and roulette as well as sports bettors who wager on the outcome of their favorite sport enjoy picking a president and backing it up with money.
It is easy and quick. While some other types of betting involve strategizing and combining bets, this one is very straightforward. All you have to do is pick a winner. That is it. Right now, Trump and Harris are tied with both having 1.90 odds of becoming the next president. This will shift and change in the next two months as they hold more and more rallies and do the obligatory debates. There are a few more bets you can choose from if you are so inclined, just to make things more interesting if nothing else.
For example, you can bet on the popular vote winner candidate and pick Trump (3.75), Harris (1.22), or other (101.00). Then there is the bet that asks if the election winner loses the popular vote. Right now, the Yes bet stands at 2.85 and the No bet is at 1.40. Just like the outright winner, you can bet on the winning party. Both the Republicans and the Democrats are at 1.90 while the Independent is at 101.00.
Who Do the Polls Favor?
So we have seen the odds as they stand right now, but what do the professional analytics say and what do the current polls show? It is still too early to tell but if you are serious about betting you need to know how Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are faring in their respective campaigns. When current president Joe Biden dropped out of the race following his embarrassing debate in June, he was replaced as the Democrats’ nominee by Harris on August 5. At that moment, Trump led the polls and everyone was saying that he was the clear-cut winner. August did bring some changes so how are things looking now?
At the moment, it is Kamala Harris with a slight advantage in the most recent polls across the board. She is in front by a few percentile points, which are sliding and shifting all the time. She would become the first woman president, the first Asian American president, and only the second African American after Barack Obama in 2008. It would be a lot of firsts which is why she can count on the votes of many moderate voters who are not left or right-aligned. She has secured the support of the Pacific states as well as most of the North states of New England.
Trump is doing more of the same when the world is vastly different than it was both in 2016 when he won and in 2020 when he lost. His right-wing narrative and America for Americans approach are working among the voters who have had enough of leftist agendas as they call it, of immigrants flooding the country and of the woke agenda. Most of these are trigger words but his stance has long been that of returning America to the top spot across the board. The states that support him are mostly in the traditional South, parts of the West, and Midwest. Those that are not are still historically more conservative and
The Narrative
Sometimes, it is the narrative and the general world events that help a candidate win it all. As mentioned, the 2016 and 2020 elections happened in a very different world. The transition from Obama’s administration to Trump’s and then Biden’s seems like ancient history considering what has happened. The pandemic, the troubles in Ukraine and the Middle East, and the worldwide fall of economies require someone who will set things back in motion and establish control. If we take into account that it all went downhill during Biden’s presidency and the fact that Harris is his vice president, it seems obvious that a change is needed.
Common people are dissatisfied and they want to live better, something like between 2016 and 2020 or at least 2021. This means that Trump’s time as president is remembered more fondly and naturally the people want it to happen again. But how much did the president have to do with it all? Was he the only one responsible or not? Those are the questions people are pondering, and they should be taken into account when picking the winner to make that potentially life-changing presidential race bet!